How Scoring Changes the Olave-Henry Draft Call

By Fantasy Football Nerds. Built from FFN rankings, projections, public data surfaces, and editorial review; source notes live in Credits.

Chris Olave
Chris Olave • NO • WR
Who this is for Adjust the same player pool for full PPR.
Best fit
Redraft managers across common scoring formats.
Move
Draft.
Risk
Olave loses catchable target volume.
Better path
Prioritize catch volume in full PPR.
Olave catch call Over 100 catches 2026 season if he plays at least 16 games

High reception volume gives Olave a stronger weekly base in full PPR.

Henry scoring swing No. 5 to No. 18 FFN standard and full-PPR rankings on Aug. 25, 2026

Henry's carry-heavy role gains relative value when receptions stop earning a bonus.

Metcalf air-yard share 38.1% Five-game finish to the 2025 season

Downfield opportunity keeps Metcalf useful when reception bonuses shrink.

Full PPR gives a point for every reception, so a receiver who keeps winning short and intermediate routes can score before the yardage arrives. Standard removes that bonus and rewards a back's red-zone role, touchdowns and downfield gains. The jobs stay the same. Their value doesn't.

Change the order with the scoring. Full-PPR managers should move Chris Olave ahead of comparable receivers who need touchdowns to cover quieter target weeks. Standard managers can push Derrick Henry toward the front because Baltimore can feed him without throwing his way. DK Metcalf is the middle ground. Tucker Kraft helps most when tight-end reception volume is scarce.

Derrick Henry
Derrick Henry • BAL

Scoring doesn't change the player. It changes which ordinary Sunday can still beat you.

Read the workload before the name

Full PPR: Start with repeatable target volume. Olave can turn a six-catch, 70-yard afternoon into a usable week without reaching the end zone. Kraft can do something similar at a thinner position.

Half PPR: Balanced route volume gets more attractive. Metcalf's receptions still count, while his downfield work and touchdown access carry more of the offense.

Standard: Ask which offense can manufacture yardage without a catch bonus. Baltimore gives Henry enough volume near the goal line to answer that cleanly.

The useful question isn't whether one player is better. It's which target or carry role your league rewards before the touchdown arrives.

Chris Olave can win on repetition

Olave's full-PPR case begins with how often New Orleans looks his way. FFN's role data shows he averaged 9.6 targets and commanded 29.9% of the Saints' throws over his five-game finish last season.

He also accounted for 48.2% of their air yards. His volume included throws capable of flipping the field.

FFN's 2025 team profile shows how the Saints' offense created passing volume. New Orleans threw on 63.9% of its plays, including a 61.7% neutral pass rate.

Olave now sits first on the depth chart. As of Aug. 25, FFN projects 161 targets and 103 catches.

That target volume is the cushion. A touchdown drought can hurt any receiver, but full PPR keeps paying Olave for extending drives and winning underneath. In standard, those six- and seven-catch games need more yardage to separate from a receiver who scores on fewer opportunities.

Here's the call I'll own: Olave finishes above 100 catches if he plays at least 16 games. Move him up when reception scoring rewards that volume and the alternative is a lower-volume receiver living on deep balls and touchdowns.

The health caveat remains real. The official availability source currently has no active injury-report rows, so it can't settle August health questions. The call needs steady quarterback play and enough healthy weeks for Olave's target advantage to compound.

Derrick Henry can win without the bonus

Henry is the other side of the scoring argument. In FFN's role file, his five-game finish came to 22 carries per game and 0.6 targets.

The Week 18 meeting with Pittsburgh included 20 Henry carries from Baltimore's offense. That's the kind of Sunday standard scoring preserves: those touches create yardage and touchdown chances even when the receiving column stays nearly empty.

FFN's 2025 team profile puts Baltimore's red zone rush rate at 54.8%. As of Aug. 25, FFN projects Henry for 275 carries, giving him a direct route to points without a reception premium.

The format gap is already visible. As of Aug. 25, FFN ranks Henry No. 5 overall in standard and No. 18 in full PPR. Those numbers will move, but his role in Baltimore's offense should outlast the exact order.

I'll draft Henry among the first five players in standard while FFN projects at least 270 carries. Reception scoring gives backs with high-volume receiving roles more ways to catch him. Standard asks them to match his rushing yardage and scoring chances without a point for every dump-off.

Henry is 32, and Baltimore has a new staff with Jesse Minter as head coach and Declan Doyle coordinating the offense. Last season's run rate is evidence, not a promise. Any meaningful loss of goal-line work would remove the strongest part of the standard-scoring case.

DK Metcalf lives between the extremes

Metcalf doesn't need to choose one side. The FFN role dataset has him at 7.4 targets and 38.1% of his team's air yards across his five-game finish last season. The catch count is viable in reception formats, while those deeper routes can produce standard points in larger chunks.

He's now first on Pittsburgh's receiver depth chart. The season projection calls for 112 targets and 67 catches. That won't give him Olave's reception cushion, but one completion beyond the sticks can do the yardage work of several short throws.

Use Metcalf when a roster already has a catch accumulator and needs downfield or touchdown upside. With a full reception bonus, he's a better complement than a weekly catch anchor. His path grows more attractive in standard because a long gain doesn't surrender a bonus point to each short completion on the other sideline.

Pittsburgh still has to supply enough accurate downfield throws. If Metcalf's target depth shrinks without a jump in catches, the profile loses the feature that makes it travel across formats.

Tucker Kraft shows the limit of the switch

Kraft benefits from full PPR, although scoring doesn't automatically change his route role. His projection includes 84 targets and 61 catches.

He remains fourth among tight ends in standard, half PPR and full PPR because similar route roles collect the same reception bonus.

His football job still gives managers something usable. Kraft is Green Bay's first tight end on the depth chart and can work behind linebackers off play action. Those ordinary middle-of-field completions provide a steadier route to tight-end points than waiting for one long catch.

Target Kraft after the premium tight-end tier when your full-PPR build needs reception stability. Standard managers should put more weight on his touchdown access; FFN's 2025 team profile gives Green Bay a 50.3% red-zone rush rate. A fuller passing-game rotation could squeeze his targets, so the early full-strength games need to confirm that he remains part of the weekly progression.

What would change the order

What breaks the scoring adjustment? A role change underneath it. Fewer catchable targets erase Olave's advantage. Henry losing goal-line carries would pull him back toward receiving backs, while fewer downfield throws would turn Metcalf into a lower-volume receiver without the explosive payoff. Kraft needs his middle-of-field routes to survive Green Bay's full passing rotation.

The final adjustment belongs to roster construction. A full-PPR roster built around Henry needs target volume elsewhere. A standard roster loaded with volatile receivers can use his goal-line role. Metcalf bridges those builds, while Kraft solves a position-specific need rather than a universal scoring problem.

Before the next pick, ask what still scores on a dull Sunday. Reception leagues often answer with another target. Standard usually answers with another touch or one throw that changes the field.

Sources and evidence Article-specific inputs behind the recommendation.
  • FFN rankingsFFN's Aug. 25 rankings place Derrick Henry No. 5 overall in standard scoring and No. 18 in full PPR, with 275 projected carries.
  • team tendenciesNew Orleans posted a 61.7% neutral pass rate in 2025, while Baltimore ran on 54.8% of its red-zone plays.
  • player role trendsDuring their five-game finishes, Chris Olave averaged 9.6 targets, Derrick Henry averaged 22 carries, and DK Metcalf held 38.1% of his team's air yards.
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