Week 16 Start 'Em / Sit 'Em
**Week 16 Start/Sit Primer:** Championship matchups hinge on key decisions. Monitor **Lamar Jackson (vs. SF)** and **Tua Tagovailoa (vs. DAL)** in tough matchups, while **Justin Fields (vs. ARI)** gets a smash spot. Weather could impact **Bills-Bears (wind/rain)**, downgrading Allen/Fields as passers. Injuries loom large: **Keenan Allen (heel, DNP)** and **
Quarterbacks
Start 'Em
Jordan Love @ CHI
Why: Start Love: Bears allow **22.4 PPG to QBs (5th-most)** with **no pass rush** (bottom-5 pressure rate). Love has **10 TDs in last 4 games**—great matchup for another big day
Baker Mayfield vs NO
Why: Start Mayfield: Saints allow the 3rd-most passing TDs (21) and the dome ensures ideal conditions. Tampa’s offense is rolling, and Baker has 6 TDs in his last 2 games. High ceiling.
Sit 'Em
Geno Smith vs SF
Why: Sit Geno Smith: SF’s elite pass defense (under 200 yards/game) and relentless pass rush make him a high-risk play. Limited upside in a tough road matchup.
Russell Wilson @ BAL
Why: Sit Russell Wilson. The Ravens' elite defense at home allows the fewest fantasy points to QBs, with 5 INTs in their last 3 games. High risk, low upside.
Running Backs
Start 'Em
James Cook vs NYJ
Why: Start James Cook: Jets allow **5.1 YPC (2nd-worst)** and Cook dominates backfield with **70% snaps**. High-volume role plus weak run defense = strong RB2 with upside.
Rachaad White @ CAR
Why: **Start Rachaad White:** Carolina allows the most fantasy points to RBs. White is a volume monster (20+ touches in 3 straight) in a smash matchup. Lock him in as an RB1.
Sit 'Em
Najee Harris @ BAL
Why: Sit Najee Harris. Baltimore allows the fewest fantasy points to RBs (12.8 per game) and Harris averages just 3.8 YPC. Tough matchup, low upside.
Tyler Allgeier vs LV
Why: Sit Allgeier. Bijan Robinson dominates backfield touches (75% snap share last 3 weeks), and LV allows the 4th-fewest RB fantasy points. Limited upside in a tough matchup.
Wide Receivers
Start 'Em
Mike Evans @ CAR
Why: Start Evans: Carolina’s weak secondary (29th vs. WRs) + his dominance (8 TDs in last 6 vs. CAR). Baker trusts him—high-volume, high-TD upside in must-win week. Lock him in
Calvin Ridley vs IND
Why: Start Ridley: Colts allow the most fantasy points to WRs. He’s a high-volume target (7+ targets in 4 straight games) with big-play upside in a favorable shootout matchup.
Sit 'Em
Romeo Doubs vs DET
Why: Sit Doubs: Detroit’s secondary has tightened up (5th-fewest WR fantasy points allowed), and Doubs’ volume is unreliable (3+ targets just once in last 4 games). Too risky in playoffs.
Quentin Johnston @ KC
Why: Sit Johnston: KC allows 4th-fewest WR fantasy points. His inconsistent target share (3 or fewer targets in 5 of last 7) makes him too risky for playoff lineups.
Tight Ends
Start 'Em
Kyle Pitts vs LV
Why: Start **Kyle Pitts** vs. LV—Raiders allow the **2nd-most fantasy points to TEs** (11.8 per game). Weak coverage + increased targets (6+ in 3 straight) make him a strong play.
Dalton Kincaid vs NYJ
Why: Start Kincaid: Jets allow 4th-most fantasy points to TEs (9.9/game). Kincaid has 15+ PPR points in 3 of his last 4 games. High-volume role + elite matchup =
Sit 'Em
Tyler Higbee @ SF
Why: Sit Higbee: SF allows fewest fantasy points to TEs (3.9 PPG). Higbee has zero TDs since Week 1 and just 3 catches for 29 yards last week. No upside in this matchup.
Hunter Henry vs KC
Why: Sit Henry: KC allows the 3rd-fewest fantasy points to TEs. Henry has just 2 TDs in his last 8 games and lacks upside in this tough matchup. Stream a higher-ceiling option.
🎯 Streamers of the Week
**QB: Nick Mullens @ DET** - High-volume passer in shootout potential vs. Lions' weak secondary (29th vs. QBs). **TE: Juwan Johnson @ LAR** - Rams allow 4th-most fantasy points to TEs; Johnson has 3
⚠️ Weather & Injury Watch
1. **Bills at Chargers (Saturday)**: Heavy rain/wind expected—monitor Allen, Diggs, Ekeler. 2. **Jaguars at Buccaneers**: Trevor Lawrence (concussion) — if out, downgrade Jags pass-catchers. 3. **Joe Burrow (wrist
📊 Expert Analysis | Published: June 12, 2025
Start/sit recommendations for Week 16 based on matchups and trends