Free agency dominates every March conversation. Every big signing, every restructure, every franchise tag gets the full media treatment. Meanwhile, the draft market quietly misprices the players whose situations stayed the same.
Our PPR projections flag three players whose output belongs in the top 110 overall but who are being drafted between picks 101 and 200. The combined projection-to-ADP gap across all three is 245 spots. That is not a rounding error. That is a market failure you can exploit right now.
Chris Godwin Is Being Drafted 85 Spots Below His Projected Output
Godwin projects for 301 PPR points and 17.71 PPG. His projection rank is 16th overall. His ADP is 101.
The model sees a top-16 player. The market sees a Round 9 bench stash. One of these is wrong.
The Bottom Line
Build your draft board around what the numbers say, not what the headlines said last week. Run the full projections at fantasygpt.org to see where the rest of the market disagrees with the data.
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